# Prediction News Wire

> Dated, sourced reporting on prediction markets: CFTC and court rulings, exchange launches, resolutions, and the biggest odds moves of the day.

Prediction News Wire (predictionnews.news) is published by Prediction News Wire. Articles are AI-assisted, sourced, and reviewed before publication; see https://predictionnews.news/editorial-policy/. Market data pages are generated from public Polymarket and Kalshi data and show the time they were last refreshed.

## Data pages

- [Biggest odds moves](https://predictionnews.news/movers/): The largest 24-hour and 7-day probability swings in liquid Polymarket markets on politics, economics, and world events.
- [Resolution recaps](https://predictionnews.news/resolved/): Daily lists of markets that resolved, with the price 24 hours before close and whether the favorite won.

## Articles

- [CFTC Order on Geofencing: Exchanges Get 30 Days to Drop State Blocks](https://predictionnews.news/cftc-geofence-order.md): On November 5, 2026, the CFTC issued an interpretation of its impartial access rule saying designated contract markets generally may not restrict U.S. traders by location. Its press release gives exchanges 30 days to end domestic geographic restrictions, and to police their intermediaries, or to explain to the Division of Market Oversight why compliance is not feasible.
- [Utah Criminal Case Against Kalshi and Its Founders: Charges and Dates](https://predictionnews.news/utah-kalshi-founders-case.md): On October 28, 2026, Utah Attorney General Derek Brown filed criminal charges against KalshiEX LLC and co-founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara: a second-degree felony for a pattern of unlawful activity, 12 third-degree felony counts of online gambling promotion and one misdemeanor. The founders received court summonses, and no arrests were made. Kalshi called the case political overreach.

## Site

- [About](https://predictionnews.news/about/)
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