Markets resolved on October 28, 2026

25 Polymarket markets with at least $50K in volume resolved on October 28, 2026. The favorite 24 hours before close won 14 of 19 (74%). The biggest upset: "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs" resolved OG after trading at 20% a day earlier.

Market	Result	Winner's price 24h before	Volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	95%	$32.0M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	95%	$21.6M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	100%	$19.8M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	100%	$17.8M
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	100%	$10.7M
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	44%	$7.3M
Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	83%	$3.8M
Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	60%	$3.3M
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	74%	$2.4M
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	n/a	$2.3M
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	76%	$1.9M
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	n/a	$1.8M
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	42%	$1.8M
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	n/a	$1.7M
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	20%	$1.3M
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	73%	$1.2M
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	Astra Invicta	n/a	$1.2M
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	85%	$1.2M
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5	Over	50%	$1.1M
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	57%	$1.0M
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	56%	$1.0M
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	n/a	$997K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	43%	$902K
Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	92%	$897K
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	36%	$848K

A winner's price under 50% a day before close counts as an upset. Price history from Polymarket's public CLOB data, hourly resolution.