Prediction News WireWednesday, November 11, 2026

Resolved

Markets resolved on November 1, 2026

27 Polymarket markets with at least $50K in volume resolved on November 1, 2026. The favorite 24 hours before close won 18 of 23 (78%). The biggest upset: "Cardinals vs. Cowboys" resolved Cardinals after trading at 26% a day earlier.

MarketResultWinner's price 24h beforeVolume
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No97%$7.0M
76ers vs. Hornets76ers52%$6.7M
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No100%$4.5M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes99%$4.4M
Hawks vs. PelicansPelicans42%$3.8M
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gamingn/a$3.6M
Thunder vs. RocketsRockets64%$3.0M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No100%$2.8M
Raiders vs. JetsRaiders47%$2.7M
Ravens vs. BillsBills62%$2.2M
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBilibili Gamingn/a$2.1M
Titans vs. BengalsBengals87%$2.1M
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries53%$2.0M
Cavaliers vs. BucksCavaliers75%$2.0M
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gamingn/a$1.9M
Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs83%$1.9M
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spiritn/a$1.8M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No100%$1.6M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No100%$1.6M
Vikings vs. LionsLions63%$1.6M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No99%$1.5M
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No100%$1.5M
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under49%$1.5M
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No100%$1.5M
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Yes80%$1.5M
Cardinals vs. CowboysCardinals26%$1.4M
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Yes40%$1.4M

A winner's price under 50% a day before close counts as an upset. Price history from Polymarket's public CLOB data, hourly resolution.