Markets resolved on November 3, 2026

19 Polymarket markets with at least $50K in volume resolved on November 3, 2026. The favorite 24 hours before close won 8 of 16 (50%). The biggest upset: "US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?" resolved No after trading at 6% a day earlier.

Market	Result	Winner's price 24h before	Volume
Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	39%	$4.1M
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	42%	$2.5M
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	n/a	$2.3M
Suns vs. Warriors	Warriors	63%	$2.2M
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	6%	$2.1M
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	60%	$1.9M
Raptors vs. Clippers	Raptors	65%	$1.7M
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	79%	$1.7M
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Thunder	52%	$1.7M
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	n/a	$1.7M
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	41%	$1.7M
Hawks vs. Pacers	Hawks	64%	$1.6M
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Aurora Gaming	n/a	$1.5M
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	38%	$1.5M
Heat vs. Lakers	Lakers	53%	$1.5M
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	44%	$1.5M
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	No	65%	$1.5M
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	35%	$1.5M
Thunder vs. Cavaliers	Thunder	40%	$1.3M

A winner's price under 50% a day before close counts as an upset. Price history from Polymarket's public CLOB data, hourly resolution.